Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.544722e-03 1.711069e-03 0.001878 0.002058 0.002245 0.002434 0.002640
2025-02-23 1.132750e-03 1.380516e-03 0.001640 0.001928 0.002240 0.002563 0.002922
2025-03-02 8.255841e-04 1.128693e-03 0.001461 0.001845 0.002272 0.002727 0.003243
2025-03-09 6.028233e-04 9.430675e-04 0.001336 0.001808 0.002347 0.002934 0.003612
2025-03-16 4.376430e-04 8.008957e-04 0.001245 0.001798 0.002446 0.003165 0.004010
2025-03-23 3.313711e-04 7.145113e-04 0.001209 0.001845 0.002608 0.003466 0.004485
2025-03-30 2.341634e-04 6.211135e-04 0.001153 0.001862 0.002729 0.003719 0.004907
2025-04-06 1.557154e-04 5.356086e-04 0.001097 0.001871 0.002836 0.003954 0.005307
2025-04-13 9.613159e-05 4.611154e-04 0.001046 0.001879 0.002940 0.004182 0.005698
2025-04-20 4.670738e-05 3.802022e-04 0.000975 0.001855 0.002998 0.004353 0.006021
2025-04-27 1.568629e-05 3.104685e-04 0.000910 0.001832 0.003053 0.004518 0.006334
2025-05-04 5.152060e-06 2.839845e-04 0.000909 0.001894 0.003215 0.004808 0.006793
2025-05-11 1.436630e-07 2.575372e-04 0.000909 0.001966 0.003399 0.005139 0.007316
2025-05-18 NaN 1.762679e-04 0.000799 0.001874 0.003370 0.005213 0.007539
2025-05-25 NaN 1.189043e-04 0.000717 0.001816 0.003382 0.005336 0.007820
2025-06-01 NaN 8.130152e-05 0.000662 0.001795 0.003442 0.005517 0.008171
2025-06-08 NaN 5.539600e-05 0.000625 0.001796 0.003530 0.005733 0.008564
2025-06-15 NaN 4.360022e-05 0.000621 0.001852 0.003692 0.006041 0.009070
2025-06-22 NaN 2.883390e-05 0.000599 0.001874 0.003807 0.006290 0.009503
2025-06-29 NaN 1.637229e-05 0.000572 0.001887 0.003907 0.006520 0.009912
2025-07-06 NaN 7.464212e-06 0.000547 0.001898 0.004005 0.006745 0.010315
2025-07-13 NaN 9.139825e-07 0.000504 0.001876 0.004051 0.006903 0.010636
2025-07-20 NaN NaN 0.000465 0.001854 0.004097 0.007059 0.010952